You Can't Blame the Obese and the Smokers For Everything

With all this talk of banning the corpulently gifted from eating in public; flying on airplanes; riding on amusements; boating in Disney, etc. and banning the smokers from existing at all, we should keep in mind that both groups keep cost down. We cannot blame our rounder or our oxygen challenged citizens for increasing health care expenditures nor can we blame them for the senior citizen population exploding beyond our capability to take care of them. Nope, we can blame our vain, fitness-obsessed, self-disciplined, population who want to live forever.

It is true, until the age of 56-years old, annual health expenditure is highest for obese people. At older ages, smokers incurred higher costs. However, because of lower life expectancy, lifetime health expenditure was highest among healthy-living people and lowest for smokers. The "More-to-Love" category held an intermediate position.

Although obesity prevention leads to a decrease in costs of obesity-related diseases, this decrease is offset by cost increases due to diseases unrelated to obesity in the people who are in constant search for the fountain of youth. Obesity prevention and eliminating those who like to inhale may be an important to improving the quality of live, but it is not a cure for increasing health expenditures.

Here's another interesting study about climate change, sex ratio and longevity.

The theory that natural selection has conserved mechanisms by which women subjected to environmental stressors abort frail male fetuses implies that climate change may affect sex ratio at birth and male longevity. Using time series methods, we find that cold ambient temperatures during gestation predict lower secondary sex ratios and longer life span of males in annual birth cohorts composed of Danes, Finns, Norwegians, and Swedes born between 1878 (earliest year with complete life tables) and 1914 (last birth cohort for which male life span can be estimated). We conclude that ambient temperature affects the characteristics of human populations by influencing who survives gestation, a heretofore unrecognized effect of climate on humanity.

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The Real Cost of Going to War with Iraq

The Bush Administration carefully choreographed the most elaborate display of political smoke and mirrors ever created to spare us all any "hardship". They were fully aware of how important keeping the masses comfortable was to their agenda. Sound bytes of our robust economy; tax cuts for the wealthy; displays of fake patriotism, etc manipulate, indoctrinate, and distract us away from this war as if it's not even real. Not to mention, this war is the first war financed primarily by debt held by the emerging world or simply China...that fact alone should make us a little nervous.

According to Harvard economist, Linda Bilmes, who testified before the US House of Representatives Committee on the "The Growing Budgetary Costs of the Iraq War", this war is all too real and we will be feeling the repercussions for a very long time.

We have already spent approximately $600 billion, which will be tacked on to the continued operating costs of this bloody war. After the war, the cost of reset, or restoring the armed forces to Pre-Iraq level of readiness and equipment will be enormous and let's not forget interest payments on the money we borrowed to finance the war.

Subsequently, money, already promised to take care of veterans and their families will have to be paid out. Already, 263,000 veterans from Iraq and Afghanistan have been treated for medical disabilities in the Veterans Health Administration. An additional 50,000 soldiers have come home with PTSD and one-third of those affected will not be able to work at all. The cost alone will be between $300 -400 billion dollars.

The Iraq war presents new challenges never seen before as there are so many more soldiers surviving making the cost much greater. Approximately 2.5 soldiers were wounded for every soldier killed in Vietnam and Korea. Today, there are eight soldiers wounded in combat for every soldier killed, and accounting for the full range of injuries and diseases, there are 15 or 16 wounded soldiers for every one fatality.

Chief neurosurgeon, Dr. Gene Bolles, in his thirty years of military service, has never seen injuries as severe as he has seen come back from Iraq. Over the long term, caring for these soldiers will be astronomical.

In the first gulf war, 700,000 US soldiers fought and 44% of them claimed disability compensation. We now spend approximately $4 billion on Gulf War Vets. Imagine if 44% of the soldiers fighting the current war claim disability compensation, not to mention our fragile social security system will have to pay disability compensation in addition to Veteran benefits.

Value of Statistical Life (VSL)is the estimated lost productivity or economic output of a life. Currently, insurance companies estimate the value of a statistical life at $7 million. The military estimates the value of a statistical life at $500,000, which is paid out to families of soldiers killed in war. 4,000 soldiers have been killed thus far, a $30 billion dollar economic loss. It is also estimated that one in five families have to sacrifice to take care of a disabled veteran now. That number will only increase.

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Cost of War $2.4 Trillion Over Next Decade

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan could cost as much as $2.4 trillion through the next decade.

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