Showing posts with label john hopkins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label john hopkins. Show all posts

Thursday, January 03, 2008

When "Smart" People are "Stupid"

I always thought the difference between a robot and a human being is the human being's innate drive to make sense of the world. Whereas a robot or computer absorbs or passively receives objective knowledge and responds in such a way that it has been preprogrammed to respond, a human being actively constructs knowledge by integrating new information and experiences into what they have previously come to understand, revising and reinterpreting old knowledge in order to reconcile it with the new. In other words, human beings try to make sense of what they have perceived, learned and reasoned by attempting to fit it into the context of which is it acquired.

Apparently, this is not always the case as the following story indicates.

A Lifesaving Checklist

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Tuesday, March 27, 2007

British backtrack on Iraq death toll

British government officials have backed the methods used by scientists who concluded that more than 600,000 Iraqis have been killed since the invasion, the BBC reported yesterday.

The Government publicly rejected the findings, published in The Lancet in October. But the BBC said documents obtained under freedom of information legislation showed advisers concluded that the much-criticised study had used sound methods.

The study, conducted by researchers from Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore and the Al Mustansiriya University in Baghdad, estimated that 655,000 more Iraqis had died since March 2003 than one would expect without the war. The study estimated that 601,027 of those deaths were from violence.

The researchers, reflecting the inherent uncertainties in such extrapolations, said they were 95 per cent certain that the real number of deaths lay somewhere between 392,979 and 942,636.

The conclusion, based on interviews and not a body count, was disputed by some experts, and rejected by the US and British governments. But the chief scientific adviser to the Ministry of Defence, Roy Anderson, described the methods used in the study as "robust" and "close to best practice". Another official said it was "a tried and tested way of measuring mortality in conflict zones".

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Iraq Deaths Estimator
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